Trend and seasonality of tuberculosis in Spain, 1996-2004

F. J. Luquero; Elisabeth Sanchez-Padilla; F. Simon-Soria; J. M. Eiros; J. E. Golub

Trend and seasonality of tuberculosis in Spain, 1996-2004

F. J. Luquero, Elisabeth Sanchez-Padilla, F. Simon-Soria, J. M. Eiros, J. E. Golub

School of Medicine

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45 Scopus citations

Abstract

This study aimed to analyse the trend and seasonality of tuberculosis (TB) in Spain over the past decade. Weekly TB incidence was calculated using data from the National Surveillance Network for the period 1996-2004. Secular trends and seasonal components were estimated using time-series analysis (least-squares method and Fourier transformation). A decline in incidence was observed, from 23.4 cases per 100 000 population in 1997 to 15.1 in 2004, and an annual cycle peaking in June was detected. Time-series analyses are necessary for detecting changes in the epidemiological pattern of TB in Spain, and it should be the first step towards the development of a predictive model.

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	221-224
Number of pages	4
Journal	International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease
Volume	12
Issue number	2
State	Published - Feb 2008

Keywords

Seasonal variations
Spain
Trend
Tuberculosis epidemiology

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine
Infectious Diseases

Cite this

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abstract = "This study aimed to analyse the trend and seasonality of tuberculosis (TB) in Spain over the past decade. Weekly TB incidence was calculated using data from the National Surveillance Network for the period 1996-2004. Secular trends and seasonal components were estimated using time-series analysis (least-squares method and Fourier transformation). A decline in incidence was observed, from 23.4 cases per 100 000 population in 1997 to 15.1 in 2004, and an annual cycle peaking in June was detected. Time-series analyses are necessary for detecting changes in the epidemiological pattern of TB in Spain, and it should be the first step towards the development of a predictive model.",

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AU - Sanchez-Padilla, Elisabeth

AU - Simon-Soria, F.

AU - Eiros, J. M.

AU - Golub, J. E.

PY - 2008/2

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N2 - This study aimed to analyse the trend and seasonality of tuberculosis (TB) in Spain over the past decade. Weekly TB incidence was calculated using data from the National Surveillance Network for the period 1996-2004. Secular trends and seasonal components were estimated using time-series analysis (least-squares method and Fourier transformation). A decline in incidence was observed, from 23.4 cases per 100 000 population in 1997 to 15.1 in 2004, and an annual cycle peaking in June was detected. Time-series analyses are necessary for detecting changes in the epidemiological pattern of TB in Spain, and it should be the first step towards the development of a predictive model.

AB - This study aimed to analyse the trend and seasonality of tuberculosis (TB) in Spain over the past decade. Weekly TB incidence was calculated using data from the National Surveillance Network for the period 1996-2004. Secular trends and seasonal components were estimated using time-series analysis (least-squares method and Fourier transformation). A decline in incidence was observed, from 23.4 cases per 100 000 population in 1997 to 15.1 in 2004, and an annual cycle peaking in June was detected. Time-series analyses are necessary for detecting changes in the epidemiological pattern of TB in Spain, and it should be the first step towards the development of a predictive model.

KW - Seasonal variations

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KW - Trend

KW - Tuberculosis epidemiology

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Trend and seasonality of tuberculosis in Spain, 1996-2004

Abstract

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

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