The Significance of Ascites in Patients with Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Case-Control Study

Objective Limited data exist on the impact of ascites in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). We evaluated the survival outcomes of patients with PDAC and ascites. Methods Retrospective, single-institution, case-control study including patients with newly diagnosed PDAC from 2007 to 2016. One hundred fifty-four patients with ascites at diagnosis (case group) and 154 controls were matched on age, sex, stage, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance, surgical treatment, lymph node, and margin status. Ascites was defined as computed tomography-detected fluid in the pelvic/peritoneal cavity. Overall survival was compared between groups via Cox proportional hazards models with a gamma frailty term to account for the correlation between matched pairs on entire cohort and by disease stages for subgroup analysis. Results The 154 matched cases included 24 resectable, 19 borderline resectable, 51 locally advanced, and 60 metastatic disease. Patients with ascites had higher risk of death compared with those without (conditional hazard ratio, 1.58; 95% confidence interval, 1.23-2.03; P < 0.001). Stratified analysis showed a significant association between ascites and poor prognosis in patients with localized disease (conditional hazard ratio, 1.62; 95% confidence interval, 1.18-2.24; P = 0.003). Conclusions Radiographic ascites is a poor prognostic factor in PDAC. Our findings may aid physicians in considering systemic therapy prior to attempting local treatments.