The global impact of scaling up HIV/AIDS prevention programs in low- and middle-income countries

John Stover, Stefano Bertozzi, Juan Pablo Gutierrez, Neff Walker, Karen A. Stanecki, Robert Greener, Eleanor Gouws, Catherine Hankins, Geoff P. Garnett, Joshua A. Salomon, J. Ties Boerma, Paul De Lay, Peter D. Ghys

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

78 Scopus citations


A strong, global commitment to expanded prevention programs targeted at sexual transmission and transmission among injecting drug users, started now, could avert 28 million new HIV infections between 2005 and 2015. This figure is more than half of the new infections that might otherwise occur during that period in 125 low- and middle-income countries. Although preventing these new infections would require investing about U.S.$122 billion over this period, it would reduce future needs for treatment and care. Our analysis suggests that it will cost about U.S.S3900 to prevent each new infection, but that this will produce a savings of U.S.S4700 in forgone treatment and care costs. Thus, greater spending on prevention now would not only prevent more than half the new infections that would occur from 2005 to 2015 but would actually produce a net financial saving as future costs for treatment and care are averted.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1474-1476
Number of pages3
Issue number5766
StatePublished - Mar 10 2006
Externally publishedYes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General


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