Risk of Corneal Graft Rejection and Vaccination: A Matched Case-Control Study From a United States Integrated Health Care System

Purpose: Data on vaccine-associated corneal transplant rejections are limited. We examined the association between graft rejection and vaccination. Design: Matched case-control Methods: We used electronic health records to identify corneal transplant recipients between January 2008 and August 2022 at Kaiser Permanente Southern California. Cases were transplant recipients who experienced a graft rejection (outcome) during the study period. Randomly selected controls who did not experience a corneal graft rejection at their matched cases’ index date (rejection date) were matched in a 3:1 ratio to cases. For controls, index date was determined by adding the number of days between transplant and graft rejection of their matched case to the control's transplant date. Results: The study included 601 cases and 1803 matched controls (mean age 66 years [s.d. 17.0], 52% female, 47% non-Hispanic white). Twenty-three% of cases and 22% of controls received ≥1 vaccinations within 12 weeks prior to the index date. The adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for vaccination in the 12 weeks prior to index date, comparing cases to controls was 1.17 (95% CI: 0.91, 1.50]). The aOR was 1.09 (0.84, 1.43) for 1 vaccination, 1.53 (0.90, 2.61) for 2 vaccinations, and 1.79 (0.55, 5.57) for ≥3 vaccinations. The aOR was 1.60 (0.81, 3.14) for mRNA vaccines, and 1.19 (0.80, 1.78) for adjuvanted/high dose vaccines. Conclusions: We found no evidence to suggest an association between vaccination and graft rejection. Our findings provide support for the completion of recommended vaccinations for corneal transplant recipients, without significantly increasing the risk of graft rejection.