Non-invasive prediction of pulmonary vascular disease-related exercise intolerance and survival in non-group 1 pulmonary hypertension

Aims: The clinical utility of pulmonary hypertension (PH) risk scores in non-group 1 PH with pulmonary vascular disease (PVD) remains unresolved. Methods and results: We utilized the prospective multicenter PVDOMICS cohort with group 2, 3, 4 or 5 PH-related PVD and calculated group 1 PH risk scores (REVEAL 2.0, REVEAL Lite 2, French registry score and COMPERA 2). The c-statistic to predict death was compared separately in (i) pre-capillary PH groups 3/4/5, and (ii) combined post- and pre-capillary PH group 2. Exercise right heart catheterization reserve, ventricular interdependence and right ventricular–pulmonary artery (RV-PA) coupling were compared across risk categories. Among 449 individuals with group 3/4/5 PH, the REVEAL 2.0 risk score had the highest c-statistic for predicting death (0.699, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.660–0.737, p < 0.0001) with comparable performance using the simpler REVEAL Lite 2 score (0.695, 95% CI 0.656–0.734, p < 0.0001). The French and COMPERA 2 risk scores were also predictive of mortality, but performance of both was statistically inferior to REVEAL 2.0 (c-statistic difference −0.072, 95% CI −0.123 to −0.020, p = 0.006, and −0.043, 95% CI −0.067 to −0.018, p = 0.0007, respectively). RV function and RV-PA coupling measures were prognostic in isolation, but did not add incremental value to REVEAL (p > 0.50 for all). Findings were similar in patients with group 2 PH (n = 239). Stratification by the REVEAL Lite 2 score non-invasively identified non-group 1 PH with more advanced PVD with worse exercise capacity, RV-PA uncoupling, ventricular interdependence and impaired cardiac output reserve (p < 0.05 for all). Conclusions: Non-invasive REVEAL risk predicts mortality in non-group 1 PH without incremental prognostic value from detailed RV function or RV-PA coupling assessment. Baseline REVEAL Lite 2 risk stratification non-invasively identifies greater pulmonary vascular dysfunction and right heart-related exercise limitation, which may help guide patient selection for targeted pulmonary vascular therapies in non-group 1 PH.