TY - JOUR
T1 - Examining a Hypothesized Causal Chain for the Effects of the 2007 Repeal of the Permit-to-Purchase Licensing Law in Missouri
T2 - Homicide Guns Recovered in State and within a Year of Purchase
AU - Li, Michelle
AU - Small, Dylan
AU - Ye, Ting
AU - Lin, Yuzhou
AU - Webster, Daniel
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2023, The New York Academy of Medicine.
PY - 2023/6
Y1 - 2023/6
N2 - Firearm-related deaths are a leading cause of death in the USA. Webster et al. (2014) found an association between Missouri’s repeal of a permit-to-purchase handgun licensing law and an increase in firearm-related homicides. The evidence for causality of this association would be strengthened by finding that the increase occurred through the hypothesized mechanism of increasing the ease with which those with violent intent could obtain guns. This study examines two measures: (1) proportion of guns recovered and purchased in-state and (2) time between firearm purchase and recovery by police following criminal use. The repeal was associated from 2008 to 2019 with a 0.05 increase in the proportion own-state gun trace (p < 0.0001, 95% confidence interval: 0.08,0.13) and a 0.10 increase in the proportion of guns recovered prior to 1 year after purchase (p = 0.01, 95% confidence interval: 1.20, 1.90). Our study provides supportive evidence for the repeal increasing firearm-related homicides.
AB - Firearm-related deaths are a leading cause of death in the USA. Webster et al. (2014) found an association between Missouri’s repeal of a permit-to-purchase handgun licensing law and an increase in firearm-related homicides. The evidence for causality of this association would be strengthened by finding that the increase occurred through the hypothesized mechanism of increasing the ease with which those with violent intent could obtain guns. This study examines two measures: (1) proportion of guns recovered and purchased in-state and (2) time between firearm purchase and recovery by police following criminal use. The repeal was associated from 2008 to 2019 with a 0.05 increase in the proportion own-state gun trace (p < 0.0001, 95% confidence interval: 0.08,0.13) and a 0.10 increase in the proportion of guns recovered prior to 1 year after purchase (p = 0.01, 95% confidence interval: 1.20, 1.90). Our study provides supportive evidence for the repeal increasing firearm-related homicides.
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U2 - 10.1007/s11524-023-00739-6
DO - 10.1007/s11524-023-00739-6
M3 - Article
C2 - 37249820
AN - SCOPUS:85160647592
SN - 1099-3460
VL - 100
SP - 425
EP - 430
JO - Journal of Urban Health
JF - Journal of Urban Health
IS - 3
ER -