@article{50f4491672e641e4a3137c957de565dc,
title = "Ending the Epidemic in America Will Not Happen if the Status Quo Continues: Modeled Projections for Human Immunodeficiency Virus Incidence in 6 US Cities",
abstract = "We estimated 10-year (2020-2030) trajectories for human immunodeficiency virus incidence in 6 US cities. Estimated incidence will only decrease in 2 of 6 cities, with the overall population-weighted incidence decreasing 3.1% (95% credible interval [CrI],-1.0% to 8.5%) by 2025, and 4.3% (95% CrI,-2.6% to 12.7%) by 2030 across cities. Targeted, context-specific combination implementation strategies will be necessary to meet the newly established national targets.",
keywords = "{"}Ending the HIV epidemic{"} plan, HIV/AIDS, dynamic transmission model, epidemiological projection",
author = "Bohdan Nosyk and Xiao Zang and Emanuel Krebs and Min, {Jeong Eun} and Behrends, {Czarina N.} and {Del Rio}, Carlos and Dombrowski, {Julia C.} and Feaster, {Daniel J.} and Matthew Golden and Marshall, {Brandon D.L.} and Mehta, {Shruti H.} and Metsch, {Lisa R.} and Schackman, {Bruce R.} and Steven Shoptaw and Strathdee, {Steffanie A.}",
note = "Funding Information: Financial support. This work was supported by the National Institute on Drug Abuse, National Institutes of Health (grant number R01-DA-041747). This research was enabled in part by support provided by WestGrid (www.westgrid.ca) and Compute Canada (www. computecanada.ca). Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2019 The Author(s).",
year = "2019",
month = nov,
day = "27",
doi = "10.1093/cid/ciz1015",
language = "English (US)",
volume = "69",
pages = "2195--2198",
journal = "Clinical Infectious Diseases",
issn = "1058-4838",
publisher = "Oxford University Press",
number = "12",
}