Comparing the Accuracy of Peripapillary OCT Scans and Visual Fields to Detect Glaucoma Worsening

Purpose: To compare the accuracy of detecting moderate and rapid rates of glaucoma worsening over a 2-year period with different numbers of OCT scans and visual field (VF) tests in a large sample of glaucoma and glaucoma suspect eyes. Design: Descriptive and simulation study. Participants: The OCT sample comprised 12 150 eyes from 7392 adults with glaucoma or glaucoma suspect status followed up at the Wilmer Eye Institute from 2013 through 2021. The VF sample comprised 20 583 eyes from 10 958 adults from the same database. All eyes had undergone at least 5 measurements over follow-up from the Zeiss Cirrus OCT or Humphrey Field Analyzer. Methods: Within-eye rates of change in retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness and mean deviation (MD) were measured using linear regression. For each measured rate, simulated measurements of RNFL thickness and MD were generated using the distributions of residuals. Simulated rates of change for different numbers of OCT scans and VF tests over a 2-year period were used to estimate the accuracy of detecting moderate (75th percentile) and rapid (90th percentile) worsening for OCT and VF. Accuracy was defined as the percentage of simulated eyes in which the true rate of worsening (the rate without measurement error) was at or less than a criterion rate (e.g., 75th or 90th percentile). Main Outcome Measures: The accuracy of diagnosing moderate and rapid rates of glaucoma worsening for different numbers of OCT scans and VF tests over a 2-year period. Results: Accuracy was less than 50% for both OCT and VF when diagnosing worsening after a 2-year period. OCT accuracy was 5 to 10 percentage points higher than VF accuracy at detecting moderate worsening and 10 to 15 percentage points higher for rapid worsening. Accuracy increased by more than 17 percentage points when using both OCT and VF to detect worsening, that is, when relying on either OCT or VF to be accurate. Conclusions: More frequent OCT scans and VF tests are needed to improve the accuracy of diagnosing glaucoma worsening. Accuracy greatly increases when relying on both OCT and VF to detect worsening. Financial Disclosure(s): The author(s) have no proprietary or commercial interest in any materials discussed in this article.