Changes in mobility patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic in Zambia: Implications for the effectiveness of NPIs in Sub-Saharan Africa

Stacie Loisate, Simon Mutembo, Rohan Arambepola, Kabondo Makungo, Elliot N. Kabalo, Nyambe B. Sinyange, Nathan Kapata, Mazyanga Liwewe, Andrew Silumezi, Gershom Chongwe, Natalya Kostandova, Shaun Truelove, Amy Wesolowski

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted many facets of human behavior, including human mobility partially driven by the implementation of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as stay at home orders, travel restrictions, and workplace and school closures. Given the importance of human mobility in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2, there have been an increase in analyses of mobility data to understand the COVID-19 pandemic to date. However, despite an abundance of these analyses, few have focused on Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Here, we use mobile phone calling data to provide a spatially refined analysis of subnational human mobility patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic from March 2020-July 2021 in Zambia using transmission and mobility models. Overall, among highly trafficked intra-province routes, mobility decreased up to 52% during the time of the strictest NPIs (March-May 2020) compared to baseline. However, despite dips in mobility during the first wave of COVID-19 cases, mobility returned to baseline levels and did not drop again suggesting COVID-19 cases did not influence mobility in subsequent waves.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article numbere0000892
JournalPLOS Global Public Health
Volume3
Issue number10 October
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 2023

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine
  • Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health

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