@article{1a385f110a4442c2b76a99aea5552826,
title = "Adult Spinal Deformity Surgeons Are Unable to Accurately Predict Postoperative Spinal Alignment Using Clinical Judgment Alone",
abstract = "Object Adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery seeks to reduce disability and improve quality of life through restoration of spinal alignment. In particular, correction of sagittal malalignment is correlated with patient outcome. Inadequate correction of sagittal deformity is not infrequent. The present study assessed surgeons' ability to accurately predict postoperative alignment. Methods Seventeen cases were presented with preoperative radiographic measurements, and a summary of the operation as performed by the treating physician. Surgeon training, practice characteristics, and use of surgical planning software was assessed. Participants predicted if the surgical plan would lead to adequate deformity correction and attempted to predict postoperative radiographic parameters including sagittal vertical axis (SVA), pelvic tilt (PT), pelvic incidence to lumbar lordosis mismatch (PI-LL), thoracic kyphosis (TK). Results Seventeen surgeons participated: 71% within 0 to 10 years of practice; 88% devote >25% of their practice to deformity surgery. Surgeons accurately judged adequacy of the surgical plan to achieve correction to specific thresholds of SVA 69% ± 8%, PT 68% ± 9%, and PI-LL 68% ± 11% of the time. However, surgeons correctly predicted the actual postoperative radiographic parameters only 42% ± 6% of the time. They were more successful at predicting PT (61% ± 10%) than SVA (45% ± 8%), PI-LL (26% ± 11%), or TK change (35% ± 21%; p <.05). Improved performance correlated with greater focus on deformity but not number of years in practice or number of three-column osteotomies performed per year. Conclusion Surgeons failed to correctly predict the adequacy of the proposed surgical plan in approximately one third of presented cases. They were better at determining whether a surgical plan would achieve adequate correction than predicting specific postoperative alignment parameters. Pelvic tilt and SVA were predicted with the greatest accuracy.",
keywords = "Adult scoliosis, Adult spinal deformity, Deformity correction, Spinal alignment, Surgical planning",
author = "Tamir Ailon and Scheer, {Justin K.} and Virginie Lafage and Schwab, {Frank J.} and Eric Klineberg and Sciubba, {Daniel M.} and Protopsaltis, {Themistocles S.} and Lukas Zebala and Richard Hostin and Ibrahim Obeid and Tyler Koski and Kelly, {Michael P.} and Shay Bess and Shaffrey, {Christopher I.} and Smith, {Justin S.} and Ames, {Christopher P.}",
note = "Funding Information: Author disclosures: TA (none); JKS (none); VL (grants from SRS, grants from NIH, grants from DePuy Spine Synthesis, personal fees from Medicrea, personal fees from MSD, personal fees from DePuy Spine Synthesis, personal fees from Nemaris INC, personal fees from Nemaris INC, outside the submitted work); FJS (grants from SRS, grants from AO, grants from DePuy Spine Synthesis, personal fees from Medicrea, personal fees from BiometZimmer, personal fees from NuVasive, personal fees from MSD, personal fees from K2M, personal fees from Nemaris INC, outside the submitted work); EK (grants and personal fees from AO Spine, personal fees from DePuy, personal fees from Stryker, personal fees from K2M, outside the submitted work); DMS (other from Medtronic, DePuy-Synthes, Globus, outside the submitted work); TSP (grants from DePuy-Synthes, during the conduct of the study; personal fees from Globus, personal fees from K2M, outside the submitted work); LZ (personal fees from Ulrich Medical USA, personal fees from Broadwater, personal fees from DePuy, personal fees from K2M, grants from AO Spine Fellowship Grant, grants from DePuy, outside the submitted work); RH (personal fees from DePuy Spine, other from NuVasive, other from Seeger, other from DJO, other from DePuy Spine, other from K2M, outside the submitted work); IO (grants and personal fees from DePuy-Synthes Spine, personal fees from Medtronic, personal fees from Alfatec Spine, outside the submitted work); TK (grants and personal fees from Medtronic, personal fees from NuVasive, personal fees from Spinewave, personal fees from Globus, outside the submitted work); MPK (none); SB (grants from DePuy Synthes, during the conduct of the study; grants and personal fees from K2 Medical, grants and personal fees from NuVasive, grants and personal fees from Innovasis, personal fees from Allosource, grants from Stryker, grants from Medtronic, personal fees from Pioneer, outside the submitted work); CIS (grants from DePuy Synthes, during the conduct of the study; personal fees from Biomet, personal fees from Medtronic, personal fees from NuVasive, personal fees from Stryker, grants from AO Spine, grants from DOD, grants from NACTN, grants from NIH, outside the submitted work); JSS (grants from DePuy, during the conduct of the study; personal fees and other from Biomet, personal fees from NuVasive, personal fees from K2M, personal fees from Cerapedics, personal fees from Globus, grants and personal fees from DePuy, outside the submitted work); CPA (personal fees from DePuy, personal fees from Medtronic, personal fees from Stryker, personal fees from Biomet Spine, personal fees from Stryker, personal fees from Doctors Research Group, personal fees from UCSF, outside the submitted work; In addition, Dr. Ames has a patent Fish & Richardson, P.C. issued). Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2016 Scoliosis Research Society.",
year = "2016",
month = jul,
day = "1",
doi = "10.1016/j.jspd.2016.02.003",
language = "English (US)",
volume = "4",
pages = "323--329",
journal = "Spine deformity",
issn = "2212-134X",
publisher = "Elsevier B.V.",
number = "4",
}