TY - JOUR
T1 - A structured methodology review showed analyses of functional outcomes are frequently limited to “survivors only” in trials enrolling patients at high risk of death
AU - Colantuoni, Elizabeth
AU - Li, Ximin
AU - Hashem, Mohamed D.
AU - Girard, Timothy D.
AU - Scharfstein, Daniel O.
AU - Needham, Dale M.
N1 - Funding Information:
Conflict of interest: EC, XL and DMH received funding from a grant from the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute (NHLBI R24HL111895 ). TDG, DOS and MDH declare no competing interests.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2021 Elsevier Inc.
PY - 2021/9
Y1 - 2021/9
N2 - Objective: This structured methodology review evaluated statistical approaches used in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) enrolling patients at high risk of death and makes recommendations for reporting future RCTs. Study design and setting: Using PubMed, we searched for RCTs published in five general medicine journals from January 2014 to August 2019 wherein mortality was ≥10% in at least one randomized group. We abstracted primary and secondary outcomes, statistical analysis methods, and patient samples evaluated (all randomized patients vs. “survivors only”). Results: Of 1947 RCTs identified, 434 met eligibility criteria. Of the eligible RCTs, 91 (21%) and 351 (81%) had a primary or secondary functional outcome, respectively, of which 36 (40%) and 263 (75%) evaluated treatment effects among “survivors only”. In RCTs that analyzed all randomized patients, the most common methods included use of ordinal outcomes (e.g., modified Rankin Scale) or creating composite outcomes (primary: 41 of 91 [45%]; secondary: 57 of 351 [16%]). Conclusion: In RCTs enrolling patients at high risk of death, statistical analyses of functional outcomes are frequently conducted among “survivors only,” for which conclusions might be misleading. Given the growing number of RCTs conducted among patients hospitalized with COVID-19 and other critical illnesses, standards for reporting should be created.
AB - Objective: This structured methodology review evaluated statistical approaches used in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) enrolling patients at high risk of death and makes recommendations for reporting future RCTs. Study design and setting: Using PubMed, we searched for RCTs published in five general medicine journals from January 2014 to August 2019 wherein mortality was ≥10% in at least one randomized group. We abstracted primary and secondary outcomes, statistical analysis methods, and patient samples evaluated (all randomized patients vs. “survivors only”). Results: Of 1947 RCTs identified, 434 met eligibility criteria. Of the eligible RCTs, 91 (21%) and 351 (81%) had a primary or secondary functional outcome, respectively, of which 36 (40%) and 263 (75%) evaluated treatment effects among “survivors only”. In RCTs that analyzed all randomized patients, the most common methods included use of ordinal outcomes (e.g., modified Rankin Scale) or creating composite outcomes (primary: 41 of 91 [45%]; secondary: 57 of 351 [16%]). Conclusion: In RCTs enrolling patients at high risk of death, statistical analyses of functional outcomes are frequently conducted among “survivors only,” for which conclusions might be misleading. Given the growing number of RCTs conducted among patients hospitalized with COVID-19 and other critical illnesses, standards for reporting should be created.
KW - Functional outcomes
KW - Patient mortality
KW - Randomized controlled trials
KW - Reporting guidelines
KW - Survivors only analysis
KW - Truncation due to death
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85107626608&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85107626608&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2021.03.027
DO - 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2021.03.027
M3 - Review article
C2 - 33838275
AN - SCOPUS:85107626608
SN - 0895-4356
VL - 137
SP - 126
EP - 132
JO - Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
JF - Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
ER -